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Deal Risk Red-Flag Checklist

12 warning signs that predict a deal will slip or die, with a scoring threshold and an immediate next action for each, so a rep catches the problem in week two instead of week twelve.

How to use it

Run this against any deal in your pipeline, especially anything that's been in the same stage for more than two weeks: two or more checked boxes means intervene now, not at the next forecast call.

What's inside

  • Single-threaded contact flag
  • Champion gone quiet 5+ business days flag
  • No economic buyer meeting flag
  • Rep-proposed (not buyer-stated) timeline flag
  • No compelling event flag
  • 'Just waiting to hear back' with no date flag
  • Legal/security/procurement not yet engaged flag
  • Champion can't name the approval chain flag
  • Unconfirmed 'budget not an issue' flag
  • Meetings being rescheduled or shortened flag
  • Scoring bands (0-1 healthy, 2-3 at risk, 4+ likely to slip) with immediate actions per flag

12 warning signs that predict a deal will slip or die

Check any that apply to a deal you're working right now. Two or more checked = high risk of slip. Catch it in week two, not week twelve.

  1. ☐ Single-threaded contact. You have a real relationship with exactly one person at the account, and no other contact would take your call if that person left tomorrow.
  2. ☐ Champion has gone quiet for 5+ business days after previously being responsive, with no calendar item scheduled.
  3. ☐ No economic buyer meeting has happened. You've never been in a room (or on a call) with the person who actually signs, only heard about them secondhand.
  4. ☐ The timeline is yours, not theirs. The close date on the deal was proposed by you, not stated independently by the buyer.
  5. ☐ No compelling event. Nothing costs the buyer money, time, or risk if they simply do nothing this quarter.
  6. ☐ "Just waiting to hear back" for more than one week with no specific date given for when you'll hear back.
  7. ☐ Legal/security/procurement has not engaged, despite a close date inside the current stated close window.
  8. ☐ The champion can't name who else has to approve it, or gives a vague answer like "it should just need a signature."
  9. ☐ Budget was described as "not an issue" but no one can point to a line item, PO, or approved spend category.
  10. ☐ Meetings are getting rescheduled or shortened, especially by the buyer side, especially more than once.
  11. ☐ The buyer's internal champion is junior relative to the deal size and has never successfully sold anything similar upward before.
  12. ☐ No mutual action plan exists: there is no document, however informal, that both sides agreed to with dates and owners.

Scoring

  • 0–1 checked: Healthy. Proceed on current timeline.
  • 2–3 checked: At risk. Address the specific flags this week, don't wait for next review.
  • 4+ checked: Likely to slip or die this period. Requalify from the top: is there really a deal here, or is this an opportunity that should be re-worked as prospecting?

What to do the moment you check a box (don't wait for the weekly review)

  • Single-threaded / no economic buyer access → ask your champion directly: "Who else should be in the next call, and can you set it up?" If they can't or won't, that itself is diagnostic.
  • Gone quiet → use the companion Stalled Deal Revival Playbook rather than sending another "just checking in."
  • No compelling event → go back to discovery. A deal without urgency isn't a Q-this-quarter deal, recategorize it honestly.
  • No mutual action plan → propose one in writing today, even a simple three-line email: "Here's what I understand still needs to happen and by when, did I get that right?"
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