ThinkWork
Team/Manager Calculator/Tool Free

Churn Risk Calculator

Score any account 0–100 across five weighted risk categories — usage decline, support load, champion turnover, engagement, and commercial signals — and get a matched save-play recommendation for whatever band it lands in.

What's inside

  • Five scoring categories with point weights
  • Point bands for usage decline (0–30)
  • Point bands for support ticket volume/severity (0–20)
  • Point bands for champion/stakeholder turnover (0–20)
  • Point bands for engagement and responsiveness (0–15)
  • Point bands for commercial/contract signals (0–15)
  • Four risk bands (Low/Medium/High/Critical) with thresholds
  • A matched save-play recommendation for each band
  • Rescoring cadence guidance

Score every at-risk or renewal-approaching account across five weighted categories. Higher score = higher risk.

Category 1 — Usage Decline (max 30 pts)

PointsCondition
0Usage flat or growing vs. prior 90-day period
10Usage down 1–15%
20Usage down 16–30%, or a core workflow abandoned
30Usage down more than 30%, or the account has gone effectively dormant

Category 2 — Support Ticket Volume & Severity (max 20 pts)

PointsCondition
0Normal ticket volume, no escalations
8Ticket volume up 25%+ vs. baseline, or one unresolved escalation
14Ticket volume up 50%+, or repeated escalations in the last quarter
20Active executive-level escalation, or a ticket explicitly stating intent to cancel

Category 3 — Champion / Stakeholder Turnover (max 20 pts)

PointsCondition
0Champion active, engaged, unchanged from last period
10Champion's role changed but they're still at the company and reachable
15Champion has left; no new relationship established yet
20Champion left AND no replacement identified AND no executive relationship exists

Category 4 — Engagement & Responsiveness (max 15 pts)

PointsCondition
0Regular contact, responsive, attends scheduled meetings
6Slower responses (5+ business days) or one skipped meeting
10Unresponsive 2+ weeks, or declined the last scheduled QBR/check-in
15Total silence 30+ days across every known contact

Category 5 — Commercial / Contract Signals (max 15 pts)

PointsCondition
0Renewal on track, no unusual commercial activity
6Customer has asked about downgrade options, or mentioned a competitor
10Requested a contract or pricing review outside the normal renewal cycle
15Procurement/legal engaged outside renewal window, or a confirmed budget freeze

Scoring Worksheet

Account: __________Score
Usage Decline (/30)___
Support Load (/20)___
Champion Turnover (/20)___
Engagement (/15)___
Commercial Signals (/15)___
Total (/100)___

Risk Bands & Save Plays

BandScoreRecommended Save Play
Low0–20No action beyond standard cadence; rescore next cycle
Medium21–45Proactive check-in within 2 weeks; confirm the specific driver behind any non-zero category before it compounds
High46–70Formal save play: manager-reviewed recovery plan within 5 business days, re-establish champion relationship, quantify value delivered to date, propose a concrete next milestone
Critical71–100Executive escalation same week — pair your exec sponsor with theirs, bring a specific remediation commitment (not just a check-in), and treat renewal timeline as at risk regardless of contract date

Rescoring Cadence

  • Score every account with a renewal inside 120 days at least monthly.
  • Score every account flagged Medium or above every 2 weeks until it returns to Low.
  • Any single-category jump of 15+ points between scoring cycles should trigger a rescore of the whole account immediately, not at the next scheduled cycle.

How to use it

Score each of the five categories against the point bands using data from your CRM/product analytics/support tool, add them up for a total out of 100, then run the save play matched to that risk band before the next renewal touchpoint.

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